{"id":215,"date":"2020-10-13T18:14:50","date_gmt":"2020-10-13T18:14:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/marshallbrain.com\/wordpress\/?page_id=215"},"modified":"2020-10-13T18:15:18","modified_gmt":"2020-10-13T18:15:18","slug":"mars19","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/marshallbrain.com\/mars19","title":{"rendered":"Imagining Elon Musk’s Million-Person Mars Colony – Chapter 19"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Imagining Elon Musk’s Million-Person Mars Colony – The greatest thought experiment of all time<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n by Marshall Brain<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n How will children work on Mars? Who gets to have children? What is the colony’s stance toward children?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The million-person Mars colony proposed by Elon Musk represents a blank sheet of paper, and it is therefore fertile ground for thought experiments. The Mars colony allows us to consider completely new ways of organizing a society, an economy, a government, and our way of life.<\/p>\n\n\n\n One area where this ground is most fertile is in the area of children. The reason for this fertility around children is because human beings have been having children in the same way for tens of thousands of years. And human beings have babies pretty much the same way all mammals<\/a> have been having babies for tens of millions of years. Which goes like this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n It’s that simple. At least in the United States, any fertile woman:<\/p>\n\n\n\n This whole package represents a stunning amount of freedom of action, given that there is a complete, new human life involved. If we think about this level of freedom around children objectively, it seems strange, possibly insane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Let’s compare this level of freedom around children to something else that is common in a modern society: car ownership…<\/p>\n\n\n\n The point is, there is a fair amount of responsibility that goes with driving a car, and society handles this responsibility with a certain amount of rigor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n In contrast, society does nothing like this around children and child raising. No training or licensing is required. No insurance is required. There is no constant surveillance of any kind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n When it comes to conceiving and raising a new human life, society seems to be utterly, completely hands-off. Many new mothers on Earth, especially teenage mothers, are entirely unprepared for the level and intensity of responsibility required by babies or children. The first years of a new child’s life can be remarkably important to a child’s healthy development and future success, and letting a person with little or no training or experience be in charge of this responsibility seems remarkably unethical in many cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As an example, hundreds of thousands of teenagers in the United States have babies every year [ref<\/a>]. Thousands of teens age 13 and 14 have babies every year in the U.S., and the number can be much greater in other countries. The idea that any fertile teenager can have a baby any time she feels like it, with no training, practice or preparation of any kind, and then become (to a very great degree) the sole authority over a new human life for 18 years, seems bizarre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So in thinking about Elon Musk’s new Mars colony, we might ask some questions, simply to encourage open thinking about how children will be handled in the colony. Possible questions include:<\/p>\n\n\n\n Obviously there are many questions we can ask about children and child raising on Mars. And by extension, we could ask all of these same questions about children on planet Earth today. Should humanity be applying more rules and restrictions around children on Earth today? If so, what restrictions might we apply, and how would we enforce them? China was fairly successful with its one-child policy<\/a> over the course of several decades \u2013 restrictions definitely are possible based on this example if we want to install\/enforce them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Here is a salient question that demonstrates the point. The UN predicts that the population of Africa and Asia will explode in the coming decades if current trends continue [ref<\/a>], as shown in this graph: Population growth in Africa is heading toward an explosion of epic proportions. This is happening for several overlapping reasons: a) the child mortality rate has shrunk significantly in Africa, b) adults in Africa are also living longer, c) women tend to have a statistically high fertility rate in Africa (7.6 children per woman in Niger, for example), and d) the population of Africa statistically skews young, so the number of adults in their child-bearing years is extremely high in Africa. French President Emmanuel Macron made this point recently:<\/p>\n\n\n\n “The challenge of Africa is completely different, it is much deeper. It is civilizational today. Failing states, complex democratic transitions, the demographic transition.” He later said, “One of the essential challenges of Africa \u2026 is that in some countries today seven or eight children [are] born to each woman.” [ref<\/a>]<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n These statements were condemned to a great degree. But Macron raises a legitimate question: Is the kind of population explosion shown in the graph for Africa and Asia a good idea, or destructive? And if it is destructive, should rational action be taken?<\/p>\n\n\n\n In this chapter, let’s look at several of the questions to gain a perspective on child policies in the Mars colony…<\/p>\n\n\n\n Should any woman be allowed to have a baby? Should there be any age restrictions on having a baby? Should there be an application process for having a child?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Here are several examples to put a finer point on the idea of letting any woman have a baby whenever she feels like it:<\/p>\n\n\n\n If we take the above list to heart, common sense dictates that we should prevent alcohol-consuming, cigarette-smoking, heroin-addicted, zika-infected, teratogen-exposed and malnourished women from getting pregnant. All of these problems cause permanent, often devastating, damage to children developing in the womb. This kind of prevention is the very least we would do as a society, because all of these problems create the potential for serious birth defects and abnormalities in the baby, and no baby deserves this. Why would we give women the freedom to sentence another human being to permanent birth defects?<\/p>\n\n\n\n In a new society like the Mars colony, where there is a written social contract and a serious effort to eliminate assholes (see Chapter 11<\/a>), at the very least, women would need to apply to have a baby. The application process can make sure that alcohol, cigarettes, heroin, zika, teratogens, malnutrition and other potential problems have all been taken out of the equation. No baby deserves to be exposed to the risk of fetal alcohol syndrome, for example, and it is hard to imagine something much more assholish than a woman giving a baby FAS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The same application process would also check for the potential of genetic disorders. Down syndrome falls into this category, and is already routinely checked: “An estimated 92 percent of all women who receive a prenatal diagnosis of Down syndrome choose to terminate their pregnancies” [ref<\/a>]. The story of Ethan Chandra has been in the news recently, because of his rare genetic condition called Heterotaxy syndrome and the extraordinary number and complexity of surgeries that have resulted from this disorder [ref<\/a>]. An application process could prevent a wide range of genetic diseases affecting children.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The application process would also trigger a round of training and care prior to the woman becoming pregnant. Many people have no clear idea of what they are getting themselves into when they decide to have a child. For that matter, many people never make any sort of rational decision about parenthood \u2013 they simply find themselves pregnant one day, and then deal with it. The thought of “accidental”, unplanned babies being born seems impossible to imagine in a modern society, because there are so many things that babies entail and require. Yet, about half of all U.S. babies are accidental\/unplanned [ref<\/a>]. Why are accidental\/unplanned pregnancies problematic, and why should training be required prior to getting pregnant?<\/p>\n\n\n\n Should training and testing be required for parents?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Parents and parental habits have a huge impact on their developing children. Several examples:<\/p>\n\n\n\nChapter 19<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Population growth projections on the 5 continents [ref<\/a>]<\/p>\n\n\n\n